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U.S. Retail Construction Remains Constrained

U.S. retail construction activity remained both steady and constrained in the second quarter of 2026, according to the latest data from CoStar Group, a provider of property market information and analytics in property. In Q2 2026, roughly 72.1 million square feet of retail space was under construction in the U.S., up 0.9% year-over-year and below the 10-year average of roughly 78.9 million square feet, CoStar found.

“The limited amount of construction activity reflects a development environment that remains difficult to pencil in most markets,” said Brandon Svec, CoStar’s National Director of Retail Analytics. “The sharp rise in land prices, construction costs and interest rates over the past several years has pushed required rents well above prevailing market levels for many retail formats.”

Even in markets with strong population growth and leasing demand, achieving returns that justify ground-up construction remains challenging, Svec notes. “Beyond cost pressures, developers remain cautious following years of heightened supply-risk awareness, while retailers continue to favor measured, capital-disciplined expansion strategies,” he notes.

New retail construction remains heavily concentrated in 15 markets, which account for nearly 47% of the national pipeline. Among those markets, Dallas, Houston, and Austin collectively comprise 21% of the U.S. pipeline (or 15 million square feet). Other large pipelines are found across the Sun Belt and select fast-growing markets: Phoenix, Las Vegas, Chicago, Charlotte, Atlanta, Miami and Denver.

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Shop! Association

The Shop! Association is a global trade association dedicated to advancing the retail environment and experience industry. Its purpose is to empower members to innovate at retail by connecting them with education, insights, and events that support collaboration and forward-thinking solutions. From ideation through implementation, Shop! engages its diverse membership to co-create innovations that help shape the future of retail worldwide. Central to its mission is fostering an inclusive culture that embraces diverse voices and upholds high standards of ethics and transparency. Since 1956, Shop! has empowered its members to innovate at retail through education, insights and events. Learn more by visiting shopassociation.org. Interested in joining the Shop! Association? Reach out to Dina Meindl, Membership Services, for more information today! dina@shopassociation.org.

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